Tag: success sequence

  • Why Fewer Men Are Working and What Policy Can Do About It

    Why Fewer Men Are Working and What Policy Can Do About It

    We’ve written before about the decline in prime-age males in the workforce—and how this and other demographic trends are impacting overall labor force participation. We’ve also explored the research behind why fewer men in the U.S. are working today, a trend that’s been building for decades.

    This graph pretty much sums the issue up:

    So, what do we do about it?

    In a 2023 post, we shared a few ideas for what employers can do. But what about at the macro level? From a policy perspective, what might actually move the needle?

    Brad Wilcox, a professor at the University of Virginia, has a couple of ideas:

    1. Promote the Success Sequence

    We discussed this in our last post. Read all about it here

    2. Defund College, Refund Vocational Education

    In his book Get Married, Wilcox writes:

    “Not enough male teachers, too little recess, books that don’t speak to the male imagination, and intolerance for the boisterous spirit of boys in our nation’s schools are among many factors driving ‘the growing epidemic of unmotivated boys and underachieving young men’ in the education sector.”

    He continues:

    “Big education has also focused its spending and attention overwhelmingly on serving students on the ‘college track,’ a track now dominated by girls and young women. The Department of Education, for instance, spends about seventy-nine times as much money on colleges and universities as it does on vocational education in high schools and community colleges.”

    In short, our system is failing to equip many young men—especially those from poor or working-class backgrounds—with the skills, confidence, and purpose that come from learning a trade. This isn’t just about economics. It’s also about dignity, direction, and a clear path toward a stable, decent-paying job. Even some affluent young men would benefit more from hands-on work than from a traditional college path, as I’ve written about previously.

    Wilcox’s recommendation? Shift investment and prestige toward vocational and technical education.

    “Career Academies—high school programs that offer struggling students rigorous, career-oriented courses—have succeeded in boosting the earnings and marriage prospects of young men who succeed in them. Policymakers should lean into the success of Career Academies and other CTE models in high schools and community colleges by increasing funding and prestige for these programs.”

    Local Progress, National Opportunity

    I’m encouraged to see progress in this area locally—through both funding and community focus. But more is needed.

    We also need to engage strong, positive male role models earlier in boys’ lives. As Wilcox points out, there are far fewer male teachers than female teachers—especially in early education. Many boys are raised by single mothers, taught mostly by women, and rarely see men working in trades or industries that might spark their interest—if only they were exposed to them.

    The decline in male workforce participation has been slow and steady. Climbing out of it won’t be quick, but with thoughtful, long-term policy, it’s possible.

    And it’s not just a workforce issue—it’s a societal one. As poverty expert Ruby Payne has said, “If men aren’t employed, they are usually one or both of two things: lovers and fighters.”

    That reality runs counter to the success sequence—and leaves too many men incarcerated or disengaged rather than contributing meaningfully to their families, communities, and economy.

    So I guess I’ll wrap up by saying this: If we want to reverse the decline in male workforce participation, we need to rethink how we educate, support, and engage young men – starting early and continuing through career entry. It’s not just about jobs; it’s about purpose, identity, and belonging. Investing in these solutions today can lead to a stronger, more stable workforce (and a healthier society) for everyone.

  • The Success Sequence: Workforce Development Meets Poverty Prevention

    The Success Sequence: Workforce Development Meets Poverty Prevention

    The Alabama Legislature recently passed SB289, a bill supporting the teaching of the Success Sequence in all public schools. This three-step model offers a data-driven approach to breaking the cycle of poverty:

    1. Graduate from high school

    2. Obtain full-time employment

    3. Marry before having children

    The sequence is simple, but the order is essential. Research from Brad Wilcox and Wendy Wang found that 97% of millennials who followed this sequence were not poor in adulthood, further citing that is also the case for 94% of Millennials who grew up in lower-income families and 95% of those who grew up in non-intact families.

    Source: The Power of the Success Sequence for Disadvantaged Young Adults

    Education, Employment, and… Marriage?

    The relationship between education, employment, and poverty is widely studied (also, remember the Benefits Cliff?). However, marital and parental status is often overlooked, unless the discussion centers around childcare or workforce participation. But the data suggests we need to talk more openly about the order of life events.

    Raising children is hard and expensive, regardless of your educational level, job status, or marital situation. But raising children without a high school diploma, without full-time employment, and without a supportive partner makes the challenge exponentially harder. The hurdles compound and make it more difficult to escape poverty.

    How the Sequence Supports Workforce Participation

    Let’s zoom in on the middle step: employment.

    If you lack a high school diploma and have children without support from a spouse or caregiver, holding a job becomes significantly more difficult. You’re more likely to experience job instability, absenteeism, and burnout. For employers, this translates into higher turnover and less workforce reliability.

    While the model doesn’t say you must get married or have children, it suggests a strategic order if you do. Marriage before children, backed by education and employment, sets individuals – and their families – up for long-term stability.

    Why the Success Sequence Matters for Employers and Communities

    Promoting the Success Sequence isn’t just about preventing poverty. It’s also about ensuring a strong, stable workforce. When individuals follow this path, they’re more likely to stay employed, reducing turnover and increasing productivity.

    Supporting the sequence, whether through school programs, community education, or policy, could be a smart, proactive investment in both economic mobility and workforce development. The Brookings Institution in D.C. has been talking about the Success Sequence for over a decade. Maybe it’s time we pay attention.

    What Are Your Thoughts?

    Do you think the Success Sequence is a valuable tool in reducing poverty and improving employment outcomes? Should schools and communities promote it more directly? We honestly want to know. Drop us a line at info@horizonpointconsulting.com or fill out the quick poll below.

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